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SENATE RACE

Idaho


Where this race stands

Published ratings for Idaho, one row per rater
Rater Rating Added
Cook Political Report Solid R
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R
Split Ticket Safe R
FiftyPlusOne Safe R
Thin Gold model Safe R · more than 19 in 20 chance for Republicans

Our model's lean sits inside the range of the raters covering this race.

Model output from our win-odds simulation, under calibration review. Methodology

See the full forecast →
On the November ballot
David Roth Democrat
vs
Jim Risch Republican

Roster: state candidate list · as of August 24, 2026

No verified public poll. How we source polling data.

Unproven: Analysis held for checking never verified This text is held until it passes a current check of its candidate, officeholder and party claims against sourced records. How the claim check works

Campaign finance · FEC

David Roth

Raised
$14.6K
Spent
$14.8K
Cash on hand
$279
Small-dollar share of individual contributions (derived)
65%
PAC / committee contributions
$400

Campaign finance · FEC

Jim Risch

Raised
$236.1K
Spent
$231.7K
Cash on hand
$4.4K
Small-dollar share of individual contributions (derived)
19%
PAC / committee contributions
$10K

Federal Election Commission filings, as of Sep 30, 2026.

State demographics · Census ACS


Median household income
$77,800 (±$743)
Median gross rent, monthly
$1,238 (±$16)
People below the poverty line
10.6% (±0.3%)
People without health insurance
9.1% (±0.2%)
Renter households paying 30% or more of income on rent
46.9% (±1.2%)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 , statewide; the survey window ends Dec 31, 2024. Survey estimates; the figure after ± is the 90% margin of error. The renter-burden share is derived by Thin Gold from two published Census percentages. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Election information


Voter registration deadline
October 9, 2026, per the federal form; confirm with your state (U.S. Election Assistance Commission, National Mail Voter Registration Form, as of October 10, 2026)
Early voting
Not shown. We have not yet built a reader for this state's election office, so no state-published date is shown.

What is not on this page

  • Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
  • No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
  • The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.
Read Full Senate Analysis → · back soon