Colorado 5th District
Where this race stands
| Rater | Rating | Added |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Lean R | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | |
| Split Ticket | Lean R | |
| FiftyPlusOne | Tossup |
Our model's lean sits inside the range of the raters covering this race.
Model output from our win-odds simulation, under calibration review. Methodology
See the full forecast →We do not carry Colorado's certified primary result.
Colorado Secretary of State publishes the certified primary result on its official results page.
Colorado's published terms restrict reuse of its election data, and we honor that.
Colorado held its primary on June 30, 2026.
What we know
- Per Wikipedia, Jessica Killin won the Democratic primary.
- Per Wikipedia, Jeff Crank won the Republican primary.
Colorado's 5th congressional district carries a partisan baseline of R+7.43, placing it firmly in Republican-leaning territory by structural measure. Three raters currently classify the race as "Lean R": Cook Political Report (Added 2026-10-11), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Added 2026-09-22), and Split Ticket (Added 2026-09-01). FiftyPlusOne, by contrast, rates the district "Tossup" (Added 2026-09-13), a more competitive assessment that sits at variance with the other three. For the most current ratings and analysis from Cook Political Report, visit cookpolitical.com. The gap between FiftyPlusOne's "Tossup" and the "Lean R" consensus held by the other three raters is the live analytical question in Colorado's 5th. A baseline of R+7.43 suggests a district that does not tip easily, yet the presence of a dissenting tossup classification means at least one forecaster sees conditions on the ground as sufficiently uncertain to treat the race as genuinely competitive. Whether the structural lean or the competitive-conditions reading proves accurate will be visible in the November results.
Campaign finance · FEC
- Raised
- $3.7M
- Cash on hand
- $1.7M
Campaign finance · FEC
- Raised
- $2.2M
- Cash on hand
- $1.5M
Federal Election Commission filings, as of Jun 30, 2026.
District demographics · Census ACS
- Median household income
- $90,465 (±$1,388)
- Median gross rent, monthly
- $1,698 (±$20)
- People below the poverty line
- 8.5% (±0.5%)
- People without health insurance
- 7.2% (±0.4%)
- Renter households paying 30% or more of income on rent
- 54.9% (±1.7%)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 , 119th Congress district lines (this district is unchanged for 2026); the survey window ends Dec 31, 2024. Survey estimates; the figure after ± is the 90% margin of error. The renter-burden share is derived by Thin Gold from two published Census percentages. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
Election information
- Voter registration deadline
- Not shown. The federal form states this deadline in words that are not a plain "N days before the election" rule, so we do not compute a date. We have not yet built a reader for this state's election office, so no state-published date is shown.
- Early voting
- Not shown. We have not yet built a reader for this state's election office, so no state-published date is shown.
What is not on this page
- Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
- No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
- The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.