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HOUSE RACE

Nebraska 2nd District


Raters differ by degree: Solid D to Lean D. All four

Where this race stands

Published ratings for Nebraska 2nd District, one row per rater
Rater Rating Added
Cook Political Report Likely D
Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean D
Split Ticket Safe D
FiftyPlusOne Safe D
Thin Gold model Safe D · about 19 in 20 chance for Democrats

Our model's lean sits inside the range of the raters covering this race.

Model output from our win-odds simulation, under calibration review. Methodology

The full district profile is still being assembled. Candidate details appear here once an official source confirms them.

See the full forecast →
On the November ballot

We do not carry Nebraska's certified primary result.

Nebraska Secretary of State publishes the certified primary result on its official results page.

Nebraska's published terms restrict reuse of its election data, and we honor that.

Nebraska held its primary on May 12, 2026.

What we know

  • Per Wikipedia, Denise Powell won the Democratic primary. As of October 16, 2026 · Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), cross-checked against FEC filings · Not state-certified
  • Per Wikipedia, Brinker Harding won the Republican primary. As of October 16, 2026 · Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), cross-checked against FEC filings · Not state-certified
Unproven: Analysis held for checking never verified This text is held until it passes a current check of its candidate, officeholder and party claims against sourced records. How the claim check works

Campaign finance · FEC

Democratic

Raised
$5.5M
Cash on hand
$1.2M

Campaign finance · FEC

Republican

Raised
$3.9M
Cash on hand
$1.5M

Federal Election Commission filings, as of Jul 15, 2026.

District demographics · Census ACS


Median household income
$83,942 (±$1,248)
Median gross rent, monthly
$1,205 (±$13)
People below the poverty line
11.0% (±0.5%)
People without health insurance
7.6% (±0.4%)
Renter households paying 30% or more of income on rent
49.2% (±1.5%)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 , 119th Congress district lines (this district is unchanged for 2026); the survey window ends Dec 31, 2024. Survey estimates; the figure after ± is the 90% margin of error. The renter-burden share is derived by Thin Gold from two published Census percentages. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Election information


Voter registration deadline
October 16, 2026, per the federal form; confirm with your state (U.S. Election Assistance Commission, National Mail Voter Registration Form, as of October 10, 2026)
Early voting
Not shown. We have not yet built a reader for this state's election office, so no state-published date is shown.

What is not on this page

  • Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
  • No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
  • The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.
Read Full House Analysis → · back soon