We’re bringing Thin Gold back online in phases. Some sections are still being checked and will return as each one is ready; our goal is to be fully back before the November 3 midterms.

2026 election guide

Races

Senate card tracker, House race table and 2026 governor races rated by competitiveness, with candidate matchups and populist alignment.

Re-verified and open: 262 of 470.

Fig. 1 · The House battlefield

435 seats · Ratings added October 18, 2026 · Baselines as of October 3, 2026

Solid D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-Up
Lean R
Likely R
Solid R
Settled · 2024 baseline
Unclassified

Northeast

ME-02 Lean R (rated)

Solid & Likely races Open the list · 7 races

MA-02 Solid D (rated)
MA-05 Solid D (rated)
MA-07 Solid D (rated)
ME-01 Solid D (rated)
RI-01 Solid D (rated)
RI-02 Solid D (rated)
VT-AL Solid D (rated)

CT · 5

MA · 6

NH · 2

NJ · 12

NY · 26

PA · 17

Midwest

IA-01 Lean D (rated)
IA-02 Toss-Up (rated)
IA-03 Lean D (rated)
OH-07 Toss-Up (rated)
OH-09 Toss-Up (rated)
OH-10 Lean R (rated)
OH-15 Lean R (rated)

Solid & Likely races Open the list · 35 races

IA-04 Solid R (rated)
IN-01 Likely D (rated)
IN-02 Solid R (rated)
IN-03 Solid R (rated)
IN-04 Solid R (rated)
IN-05 Likely R (rated)
IN-06 Solid R (rated)
IN-07 Solid D (rated)
IN-08 Solid R (rated)
IN-09 Solid R (rated)
KS-01 Solid R (rated)
KS-02 Solid R (rated)
KS-03 Solid D (rated)
KS-04 Solid R (rated)
MO-01 Solid D (rated)
MO-02 Likely R (rated)
MO-03 Solid R (rated)
MO-04 Solid R (rated)
MO-05 Solid D (rated)
MO-06 Solid R (rated)
MO-07 Solid R (rated)
MO-08 Solid R (rated)
ND-AL Solid R (rated)
OH-01 Likely D (rated)
OH-02 Solid R (rated)
OH-03 Solid D (rated)
OH-04 Solid R (rated)
OH-05 Solid R (rated)
OH-06 Solid R (rated)
OH-08 Solid R (rated)
OH-11 Solid D (rated)
OH-12 Solid R (rated)
OH-13 Likely D (rated)
OH-14 Solid R (rated)
SD-AL Solid R (rated)

IL · 17

MI · 13

MN · 8

NE · 3

WI · 8

South

NC-01 Toss-Up (rated)
NC-11 Toss-Up (rated)
SC-01 Lean R (rated)
TX-15 Toss-Up (rated)
TX-28 Lean D (rated)
TX-34 Toss-Up (rated)
TX-35 Lean R (rated)

Solid & Likely races Open the list · 105 races

AL-01 Solid R (rated)
AL-02 Likely R (rated)
AL-03 Solid R (rated)
AL-04 Solid R (rated)
AL-05 Solid R (rated)
AL-06 Solid R (rated)
AL-07 Solid D (rated)
DE-AL Solid D (rated)
GA-01 Solid R (rated)
GA-02 Solid D (rated)
GA-03 Solid R (rated)
GA-04 Solid D (rated)
GA-05 Solid D (rated)
GA-06 Solid D (rated)
GA-07 Solid R (rated)
GA-08 Solid R (rated)
GA-09 Solid R (rated)
GA-10 Solid R (rated)
GA-11 Solid R (rated)
GA-12 Solid R (rated)
GA-13 Solid D (rated)
GA-14 Solid R (rated)
KY-01 Solid R (rated)
KY-02 Solid R (rated)
KY-03 Solid D (rated)
KY-04 Solid R (rated)
KY-05 Solid R (rated)
KY-06 Likely R (rated)
LA-01 Solid R (rated)
LA-02 Solid D (rated)
LA-03 Solid R (rated)
LA-04 Solid R (rated)
LA-05 Solid R (rated)
LA-06 Solid R (rated)
MD-01 Solid R (rated)
MD-02 Solid D (rated)
MD-03 Solid D (rated)
MD-04 Solid D (rated)
MD-05 Solid D (rated)
MD-06 Solid D (rated)
MD-07 Solid D (rated)
MD-08 Solid D (rated)
MS-01 Solid R (rated)
MS-02 Solid D (rated)
MS-03 Solid R (rated)
MS-04 Solid R (rated)
NC-02 Solid D (rated)
NC-03 Solid R (rated)
NC-04 Solid D (rated)
NC-05 Solid R (rated)
NC-06 Solid R (rated)
NC-07 Solid R (rated)
NC-08 Solid R (rated)
NC-09 Solid R (rated)
NC-10 Solid R (rated)
NC-12 Solid D (rated)
NC-13 Solid R (rated)
NC-14 Solid R (rated)
OK-01 Solid R (rated)
OK-02 Solid R (rated)
OK-03 Solid R (rated)
OK-04 Solid R (rated)
OK-05 Solid R (rated)
SC-02 Solid R (rated)
SC-03 Solid R (rated)
SC-04 Solid R (rated)
SC-05 Solid R (rated)
SC-06 Solid D (rated)
SC-07 Solid R (rated)
TX-01 Solid R (rated)
TX-02 Solid R (rated)
TX-03 Solid R (rated)
TX-04 Solid R (rated)
TX-05 Solid R (rated)
TX-06 Solid R (rated)
TX-07 Solid D (rated)
TX-08 Solid R (rated)
TX-09 Likely R (rated)
TX-10 Solid R (rated)
TX-11 Solid R (rated)
TX-12 Solid R (rated)
TX-13 Solid R (rated)
TX-14 Solid R (rated)
TX-16 Solid D (rated)
TX-17 Solid R (rated)
TX-18 Solid D (rated)
TX-19 Solid R (rated)
TX-20 Solid D (rated)
TX-21 Solid R (rated)
TX-22 Solid R (rated)
TX-23 Likely R (rated)
TX-24 Solid R (rated)
TX-25 Solid R (rated)
TX-26 Solid R (rated)
TX-27 Solid R (rated)
TX-29 Solid D (rated)
TX-30 Solid D (rated)
TX-31 Solid R (rated)
TX-32 Solid R (rated)
TX-33 Solid D (rated)
TX-36 Solid R (rated)
TX-37 Solid D (rated)
TX-38 Solid R (rated)
WV-01 Solid R (rated)
WV-02 Solid R (rated)

AR · 4

FL · 28

TN · 9

VA · 11

West

CA-13 Lean D (rated)
CA-22 Toss-Up (rated)
CA-48 Lean D (rated)
MT-01 Toss-Up (rated)
NM-02 Lean D (rated)
WA-03 Lean D (rated)

Solid & Likely races Open the list · 76 races

CA-01 Solid D (rated)
CA-02 Solid D (rated)
CA-03 Solid D (rated)
CA-04 Solid D (rated)
CA-05 Solid R (rated)
CA-06 Solid D (rated)
CA-07 Solid D (rated)
CA-08 Solid D (rated)
CA-09 Solid D (rated)
CA-10 Solid D (rated)
CA-11 Solid D (rated)
CA-12 Solid D (rated)
CA-14 Solid D (rated)
CA-15 Solid D (rated)
CA-16 Solid D (rated)
CA-17 Solid D (rated)
CA-18 Solid D (rated)
CA-19 Solid D (rated)
CA-20 Solid R (rated)
CA-21 Likely D (rated)
CA-23 Solid R (rated)
CA-24 Solid D (rated)
CA-25 Solid D (rated)
CA-26 Solid D (rated)
CA-27 Solid D (rated)
CA-28 Solid D (rated)
CA-29 Solid D (rated)
CA-30 Solid D (rated)
CA-31 Solid D (rated)
CA-32 Solid D (rated)
CA-33 Solid D (rated)
CA-34 Solid D (rated)
CA-35 Solid D (rated)
CA-36 Solid D (rated)
CA-37 Solid D (rated)
CA-38 Solid D (rated)
CA-39 Solid D (rated)
CA-40 Solid R (rated)
CA-41 Solid D (rated)
CA-42 Solid D (rated)
CA-43 Solid D (rated)
CA-44 Solid D (rated)
CA-45 Likely D (rated)
CA-46 Solid D (rated)
CA-47 Solid D (rated)
CA-49 Solid D (rated)
CA-50 Solid D (rated)
CA-51 Solid D (rated)
CA-52 Solid D (rated)
HI-01 Solid D (rated)
HI-02 Solid D (rated)
ID-01 Solid R (rated)
ID-02 Solid R (rated)
MT-02 Solid R (rated)
NM-01 Solid D (rated)
NM-03 Solid D (rated)
OR-01 Solid D (rated)
OR-02 Solid R (rated)
OR-03 Solid D (rated)
OR-04 Solid D (rated)
OR-05 Solid D (rated)
OR-06 Solid D (rated)
UT-01 Solid D (rated)
UT-02 Solid R (rated)
UT-03 Solid R (rated)
UT-04 Solid R (rated)
WA-01 Solid D (rated)
WA-02 Solid D (rated)
WA-04 Solid R (rated)
WA-05 Solid R (rated)
WA-06 Solid D (rated)
WA-07 Solid D (rated)
WA-08 Solid D (rated)
WA-09 Solid D (rated)
WA-10 Solid D (rated)
WY-AL Solid R (rated)

AK · 1

AZ · 9

CO · 8

NV · 4

A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure.
District	Status	Baseline
AK-AL	Settled	R+11.5
AL-01	Solid R (rated)
AL-02	Likely R (rated)
AL-03	Solid R (rated)
AL-04	Solid R (rated)
AL-05	Solid R (rated)
AL-06	Solid R (rated)
AL-07	Solid D (rated)
AR-01	Settled	R+43.6
AR-02	Settled	R+13.9
AR-03	Settled	R+23.2
AR-04	Settled	R+38.3
AZ-01	Settled	R+1.5
AZ-02	Settled	R+13.3
AZ-03	Settled	D+41.4
AZ-04	Settled	D+8.3
AZ-05	Settled	R+18.3
AZ-06	Settled	D+0.9
AZ-07	Settled	D+23.8
AZ-08	Settled	R+14.7
AZ-09	Settled	R+29.4
CA-01	Solid D (rated)
CA-02	Solid D (rated)
CA-03	Solid D (rated)
CA-04	Solid D (rated)
CA-05	Solid R (rated)
CA-06	Solid D (rated)
CA-07	Solid D (rated)
CA-08	Solid D (rated)
CA-09	Solid D (rated)
CA-10	Solid D (rated)
CA-11	Solid D (rated)
CA-12	Solid D (rated)
CA-13	Lean D (rated)
CA-14	Solid D (rated)
CA-15	Solid D (rated)
CA-16	Solid D (rated)
CA-17	Solid D (rated)
CA-18	Solid D (rated)
CA-19	Solid D (rated)
CA-20	Solid R (rated)
CA-21	Likely D (rated)
CA-22	Toss-Up (rated)
CA-23	Solid R (rated)
CA-24	Solid D (rated)
CA-25	Solid D (rated)
CA-26	Solid D (rated)
CA-27	Solid D (rated)
CA-28	Solid D (rated)
CA-29	Solid D (rated)
CA-30	Solid D (rated)
CA-31	Solid D (rated)
CA-32	Solid D (rated)
CA-33	Solid D (rated)
CA-34	Solid D (rated)
CA-35	Solid D (rated)
CA-36	Solid D (rated)
CA-37	Solid D (rated)
CA-38	Solid D (rated)
CA-39	Solid D (rated)
CA-40	Solid R (rated)
CA-41	Solid D (rated)
CA-42	Solid D (rated)
CA-43	Solid D (rated)
CA-44	Solid D (rated)
CA-45	Likely D (rated)
CA-46	Solid D (rated)
CA-47	Solid D (rated)
CA-48	Lean D (rated)
CA-49	Solid D (rated)
CA-50	Solid D (rated)
CA-51	Solid D (rated)
CA-52	Solid D (rated)
CO-01	Settled	D+57.7
CO-02	Settled	D+41.4
CO-03	Settled	R+8.1
CO-04	Settled	R+16.6
CO-05	Settled	R+7.4
CO-06	Settled	D+21.4
CO-07	Settled	D+16.6
CO-08	Settled	R+0.2
CT-01	Settled	D+24.5
CT-02	Settled	D+9.4
CT-03	Settled	D+15.7
CT-04	Settled	D+25.0
CT-05	Settled	D+7.2
DE-AL	Solid D (rated)
FL-01	Settled	R+35.5
FL-02	Settled	R+16.4
FL-03	Settled	R+19.5
FL-04	Settled	R+10.2
FL-05	Settled	R+19.8
FL-06	Settled	R+28.4
FL-07	Settled	R+10.8
FL-08	Settled	R+14.6
FL-09	Settled	R+16.1
FL-10	Settled	D+25.6
FL-11	Settled	R+14.0
FL-12	Settled	R+13.7
FL-13	Settled	R+11.7
FL-14	Settled	R+8.9
FL-15	Settled	R+18.2
FL-16	Settled	R+12.1
FL-17	Settled	R+20.4
FL-18	Settled	R+15.3
FL-19	Settled	R+28.6
FL-20	Settled	D+38.8
FL-21	Settled	R+14.6
FL-22	Settled	R+8.6
FL-23	Settled	D+15.4
FL-24	Settled	D+40.4
FL-25	Settled	R+7.5
FL-26	Settled	R+16.7
FL-27	Settled	R+12.9
FL-28	Settled	R+23.8
GA-01	Solid R (rated)
GA-02	Solid D (rated)
GA-03	Solid R (rated)
GA-04	Solid D (rated)
GA-05	Solid D (rated)
GA-06	Solid D (rated)
GA-07	Solid R (rated)
GA-08	Solid R (rated)
GA-09	Solid R (rated)
GA-10	Solid R (rated)
GA-11	Solid R (rated)
GA-12	Solid R (rated)
GA-13	Solid D (rated)
GA-14	Solid R (rated)
HI-01	Solid D (rated)
HI-02	Solid D (rated)
IA-01	Lean D (rated)
IA-02	Toss-Up (rated)
IA-03	Lean D (rated)
IA-04	Solid R (rated)
ID-01	Solid R (rated)
ID-02	Solid R (rated)
IL-01	Settled	D+33.7
IL-02	Settled	D+34.8
IL-03	Settled	D+33.0
IL-04	Settled	D+30.0
IL-05	Settled	D+38.8
IL-06	Settled	D+7.1
IL-07	Settled	D+67.0
IL-08	Settled	D+8.6
IL-09	Settled	D+38.2
IL-10	Settled	D+23.7
IL-11	Settled	D+13.1
IL-12	Settled	R+41.8
IL-13	Settled	D+12.1
IL-14	Settled	D+6.8
IL-15	Settled	R+38.1
IL-16	Settled	R+21.0
IL-17	Settled	D+6.4
IN-01	Likely D (rated)
IN-02	Solid R (rated)
IN-03	Solid R (rated)
IN-04	Solid R (rated)
IN-05	Likely R (rated)
IN-06	Solid R (rated)
IN-07	Solid D (rated)
IN-08	Solid R (rated)
IN-09	Solid R (rated)
KS-01	Solid R (rated)
KS-02	Solid R (rated)
KS-03	Solid D (rated)
KS-04	Solid R (rated)
KY-01	Solid R (rated)
KY-02	Solid R (rated)
KY-03	Solid D (rated)
KY-04	Solid R (rated)
KY-05	Solid R (rated)
KY-06	Likely R (rated)
LA-01	Solid R (rated)
LA-02	Solid D (rated)
LA-03	Solid R (rated)
LA-04	Solid R (rated)
LA-05	Solid R (rated)
LA-06	Solid R (rated)
MA-01	Settled	D+15.3
MA-02	Solid D (rated)
MA-03	Settled	D+20.6
MA-04	Settled	D+21.4
MA-05	Solid D (rated)
MA-06	Settled	D+22.3
MA-07	Solid D (rated)
MA-08	Settled	D+28.1
MA-09	Settled	D+12.4
MD-01	Solid R (rated)
MD-02	Solid D (rated)
MD-03	Solid D (rated)
MD-04	Solid D (rated)
MD-05	Solid D (rated)
MD-06	Solid D (rated)
MD-07	Solid D (rated)
MD-08	Solid D (rated)
ME-01	Solid D (rated)
ME-02	Lean R (rated)
MI-01	Settled	R+19.6
MI-02	Settled	R+28.4
MI-03	Settled	D+9.5
MI-04	Settled	R+3.9
MI-05	Settled	R+25.4
MI-06	Settled	D+25.0
MI-07	Settled	D+0.4
MI-08	Settled	R+0.3
MI-09	Settled	R+30.7
MI-10	Settled	R+4.9
MI-11	Settled	D+17.7
MI-12	Settled	D+39.6
MI-13	Settled	D+42.7
MN-01	Settled	R+10.3
MN-02	Settled	D+7.5
MN-03	Settled	D+22.9
MN-04	Settled	D+37.3
MN-05	Settled	D+63.5
MN-06	Settled	R+18.0
MN-07	Settled	R+34.8
MN-08	Settled	R+12.6
MO-01	Solid D (rated)
MO-02	Likely R (rated)
MO-03	Solid R (rated)
MO-04	Solid R (rated)
MO-05	Solid D (rated)
MO-06	Solid R (rated)
MO-07	Solid R (rated)
MO-08	Solid R (rated)
MS-01	Solid R (rated)
MS-02	Solid D (rated)
MS-03	Solid R (rated)
MS-04	Solid R (rated)
MT-01	Toss-Up (rated)
MT-02	Solid R (rated)
NC-01	Toss-Up (rated)
NC-02	Solid D (rated)
NC-03	Solid R (rated)
NC-04	Solid D (rated)
NC-05	Solid R (rated)
NC-06	Solid R (rated)
NC-07	Solid R (rated)
NC-08	Solid R (rated)
NC-09	Solid R (rated)
NC-10	Solid R (rated)
NC-11	Toss-Up (rated)
NC-12	Solid D (rated)
NC-13	Solid R (rated)
NC-14	Solid R (rated)
ND-AL	Solid R (rated)
NE-01	Settled	R+11.4
NE-02	Settled	D+6.3
NE-03	Settled	R+52.1
NH-01	Settled	D+3.6
NH-02	Settled	D+5.2
NJ-01	Settled	D+20.4
NJ-02	Settled	R+10.9
NJ-03	Settled	D+10.0
NJ-04	Settled	R+28.5
NJ-05	Settled	D+3.2
NJ-06	Settled	D+8.1
NJ-07	Settled	D+0.5
NJ-08	Settled	D+25.8
NJ-09	Settled	D+0.5
NJ-10	Settled	D+52.4
NJ-11	Settled	D+10.4
NJ-12	Settled	D+25.5
NM-01	Solid D (rated)
NM-02	Lean D (rated)
NM-03	Solid D (rated)
NV-01	Settled	D+3.9
NV-02	Settled	R+12.3
NV-03	Settled	D+0.9
NV-04	Settled	D+4.0
NY-01	Settled	R+8.4
NY-02	Settled	R+12.3
NY-03	Settled	R+2.6
NY-04	Settled	D+2.9
NY-05	Settled	D+43.8
NY-06	Settled	D+8.1
NY-07	Settled	D+47.5
NY-08	Settled	D+45.6
NY-09	Settled	D+42.3
NY-10	Settled	D+62.1
NY-11	Settled	R+22.7
NY-12	Settled	D+65.3
NY-13	Settled	D+60.9
NY-14	Settled	D+33.4
NY-15	Settled	D+49.9
NY-16	Settled	D+34.8
NY-17	Settled	D+2.2
NY-18	Settled	D+5.0
NY-19	Settled	D+3.4
NY-20	Settled	D+15.8
NY-21	Settled	R+19.0
NY-22	Settled	D+9.3
NY-23	Settled	R+19.4
NY-24	Settled	R+21.4
NY-25	Settled	D+20.1
NY-26	Settled	D+20.9
OH-01	Likely D (rated)
OH-02	Solid R (rated)
OH-03	Solid D (rated)
OH-04	Solid R (rated)
OH-05	Solid R (rated)
OH-06	Solid R (rated)
OH-07	Toss-Up (rated)
OH-08	Solid R (rated)
OH-09	Toss-Up (rated)
OH-10	Lean R (rated)
OH-11	Solid D (rated)
OH-12	Solid R (rated)
OH-13	Likely D (rated)
OH-14	Solid R (rated)
OH-15	Lean R (rated)
OK-01	Solid R (rated)
OK-02	Solid R (rated)
OK-03	Solid R (rated)
OK-04	Solid R (rated)
OK-05	Solid R (rated)
OR-01	Solid D (rated)
OR-02	Solid R (rated)
OR-03	Solid D (rated)
OR-04	Solid D (rated)
OR-05	Solid D (rated)
OR-06	Solid D (rated)
PA-01	Settled	D+2.0
PA-02	Settled	D+37.4
PA-03	Settled	D+79.0
PA-04	Settled	D+17.4
PA-05	Settled	D+30.3
PA-06	Settled	D+13.1
PA-07	Settled	R+1.6
PA-08	Settled	R+6.8
PA-09	Settled	R+36.3
PA-10	Settled	R+3.6
PA-11	Settled	R+19.7
PA-12	Settled	D+20.8
PA-13	Settled	R+43.9
PA-14	Settled	R+31.7
PA-15	Settled	R+36.3
PA-16	Settled	R+21.1
PA-17	Settled	D+7.2
RI-01	Solid D (rated)
RI-02	Solid D (rated)
SC-01	Lean R (rated)
SC-02	Solid R (rated)
SC-03	Solid R (rated)
SC-04	Solid R (rated)
SC-05	Solid R (rated)
SC-06	Solid D (rated)
SC-07	Solid R (rated)
SD-AL	Solid R (rated)
TN-01	Settled	R+56.2
TN-02	Settled	R+32.2
TN-03	Settled	R+34.1
TN-04	Settled	R+22.3
TN-05	Settled	R+21.4
TN-06	Settled	R+24.9
TN-07	Settled	R+20.8
TN-08	Settled	R+18.5
TN-09	Settled	R+19.5
TX-01	Solid R (rated)
TX-02	Solid R (rated)
TX-03	Solid R (rated)
TX-04	Solid R (rated)
TX-05	Solid R (rated)
TX-06	Solid R (rated)
TX-07	Solid D (rated)
TX-08	Solid R (rated)
TX-09	Likely R (rated)
TX-10	Solid R (rated)
TX-11	Solid R (rated)
TX-12	Solid R (rated)
TX-13	Solid R (rated)
TX-14	Solid R (rated)
TX-15	Toss-Up (rated)
TX-16	Solid D (rated)
TX-17	Solid R (rated)
TX-18	Solid D (rated)
TX-19	Solid R (rated)
TX-20	Solid D (rated)
TX-21	Solid R (rated)
TX-22	Solid R (rated)
TX-23	Likely R (rated)
TX-24	Solid R (rated)
TX-25	Solid R (rated)
TX-26	Solid R (rated)
TX-27	Solid R (rated)
TX-28	Lean D (rated)
TX-29	Solid D (rated)
TX-30	Solid D (rated)
TX-31	Solid R (rated)
TX-32	Solid R (rated)
TX-33	Solid D (rated)
TX-34	Toss-Up (rated)
TX-35	Lean R (rated)
TX-36	Solid R (rated)
TX-37	Solid D (rated)
TX-38	Solid R (rated)
UT-01	Solid D (rated)
UT-02	Solid R (rated)
UT-03	Solid R (rated)
UT-04	Solid R (rated)
VA-01	Settled	R+3.3
VA-02	Settled	D+1.4
VA-03	Settled	D+36.3
VA-04	Settled	D+34.4
VA-05	Settled	R+10.6
VA-06	Settled	R+22.2
VA-07	Settled	D+4.5
VA-08	Settled	D+51.4
VA-09	Settled	R+42.4
VA-10	Settled	D+10.0
VA-11	Settled	D+35.9
VT-AL	Solid D (rated)
WA-01	Solid D (rated)
WA-02	Solid D (rated)
WA-03	Lean D (rated)
WA-04	Solid R (rated)
WA-05	Solid R (rated)
WA-06	Solid D (rated)
WA-07	Solid D (rated)
WA-08	Solid D (rated)
WA-09	Solid D (rated)
WA-10	Solid D (rated)
WI-01	Settled	R+2.9
WI-02	Settled	D+41.8
WI-03	Settled	R+5.8
WI-04	Settled	D+53.2
WI-05	Settled	R+20.5
WI-06	Settled	R+14.8
WI-07	Settled	R+20.9
WI-08	Settled	R+14.6
WV-01	Solid R (rated)
WV-02	Solid R (rated)
WY-AL	Solid R (rated)

Back to the chart

Ratings: Cook Political Report, Race Ratings (added October 18, 2026), with Sabato's Crystal Ball where a Cook Political Report rating is unavailable. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com . Settled seats carry no rating: each is shown by the sign and depth of its 2024 presidential-vote margin in the district's current lines, sourced from The Downballot and receipted at ingestion: a measured past result, not a projection of this race.

Fig. 2 · Every House race, on one map Ratings: Added October 18, 2026
2024 lean: as of October 3, 2026
Forecast: run of October 18, 2026

Every House race, on one map

Each district is colored by the layer you pick: a rater’s call, where the raters differ, the latest poll we can verify, the 2024 presidential lean, or the forecast’s coarse reading. The key under the map says what each color means, and the data table prints every layer for every district.

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Solid D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-up
Lean R
Likely R
Solid R
No Sabato's Crystal Ball rating (hatched)

State of each Sabato's Crystal Ball rating

Unproven
Not available no Sabato's Crystal Ball rating: hatched

Sabato's Crystal Ball rates 82 of 435 House seats and calls 7 of them a Toss-up. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched. 162 seats have no Sabato's Crystal Ball rating and are hatched.

Ratings: Sabato's Crystal Ball, Added October 18, 2026. The rater’s own wording is in the data table.

Lines: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundaries and TIGER/Line (federal works), plus each redrawn state's enacted map where one is drawn. Utah district lines are licensed under CC BY 4.0 by Utah Geospatial Resource Center (UGRC), State of Utah (SGID "Utah US Congress Districts 2026 to 2032").

Data table: every House race (435)

Every House race: what each layer of the map shows, and where its lines come from
District	Cook Political Report	Sabato's Crystal Ball	Split Ticket	FiftyPlusOne	Where raters differ	Latest poll	2024 lean	Forecast	Lines on the map
Alaska at-large AK-AL	Being re-verified								State outline (at-large)
Alabama District 1 AL-01	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +34.4	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Alabama District 2 AL-02	Likely R	Lean R	Toss-Up	Lean R	2 steps apart: Toss-Up to Likely R (4 raters)	Not a pollster release	R +12.7	Likely R	Enacted 2026 map
Alabama District 3 AL-03	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +45.0	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Alabama District 4 AL-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +64.8	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Alabama District 5 AL-05	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +27.5	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Alabama District 6 AL-06	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +33.0	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Alabama District 7 AL-07	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +19.4	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Arkansas District 1 AR-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Arkansas District 2 AR-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Arkansas District 3 AR-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Arkansas District 4 AR-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Arizona District 1 AZ-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Arizona District 2 AZ-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Arizona District 3 AZ-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Arizona District 4 AZ-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Arizona District 5 AZ-05	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Arizona District 6 AZ-06	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Arizona District 7 AZ-07	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Arizona District 8 AZ-08	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Arizona District 9 AZ-09	Being re-verified								Census district lines
California District 1 CA-01	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Agree: Solid D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +13.9	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 2 CA-02	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +26.3	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 3 CA-03	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +11.8	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 4 CA-04	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +16.1	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 5 CA-05	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +19.1	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
California District 6 CA-06	Solid D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	1 step apart: Solid D to Likely D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +10.1	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 7 CA-07	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +14.5	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 8 CA-08	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +35.7	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 9 CA-09	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +13.1	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 10 CA-10	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +35.2	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 11 CA-11	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +69.4	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 12 CA-12	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +75.5	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 13 CA-13	Lean D	Lean D	Safe D	Safe D	2 steps apart: Solid D to Lean D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +2.0	Likely D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 14 CA-14	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +36.4	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 15 CA-15	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +49.5	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 16 CA-16	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +49.8	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 17 CA-17	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +40.6	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 18 CA-18	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +30.1	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 19 CA-19	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +36.1	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 20 CA-20	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +30.6	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
California District 21 CA-21	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	1 step apart: Solid D to Likely D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +7.6	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 22 CA-22	Toss-Up	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	2 steps apart: Likely D to Toss-Up (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +0.2	Likely D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 23 CA-23	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +17.8	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
California District 24 CA-24	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +26.6	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 25 CA-25	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Agree: Solid D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +7.5	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 26 CA-26	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +16.9	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 27 CA-27	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +11.4	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 28 CA-28	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +26.9	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 29 CA-29	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +35.3	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 30 CA-30	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +41.7	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 31 CA-31	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +13.9	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 32 CA-32	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +26.6	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 33 CA-33	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +11.4	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 34 CA-34	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +52.3	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 35 CA-35	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +9.4	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 36 CA-36	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +40.8	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 37 CA-37	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +62.0	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 38 CA-38	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +14.0	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 39 CA-39	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +11.1	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 40 CA-40	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +10.6	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
California District 41 CA-41	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +15.8	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 42 CA-42	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +14.8	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 43 CA-43	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +50.6	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 44 CA-44	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +36.8	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 45 CA-45	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	1 step apart: Solid D to Likely D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +5.6	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 46 CA-46	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +17.8	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 47 CA-47	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +11.7	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 48 CA-48	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Safe D	2 steps apart: Solid D to Lean D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +5.0	Likely D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 49 CA-49	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Agree: Solid D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +13.8	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 50 CA-50	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +19.9	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 51 CA-51	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +19.9	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 52 CA-52	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +19.2	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Colorado District 1 CO-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Colorado District 2 CO-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Colorado District 3 CO-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Colorado District 4 CO-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Colorado District 5 CO-05	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Colorado District 6 CO-06	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Colorado District 7 CO-07	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Colorado District 8 CO-08	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Connecticut District 1 CT-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Connecticut District 2 CT-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Connecticut District 3 CT-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Connecticut District 4 CT-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Connecticut District 5 CT-05	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Delaware at-large DE-AL	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +16.4	Safe D	State outline (at-large)
Florida District 1 FL-01	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 2 FL-02	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 3 FL-03	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 4 FL-04	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 5 FL-05	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 6 FL-06	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 7 FL-07	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 8 FL-08	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 9 FL-09	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 10 FL-10	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 11 FL-11	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 12 FL-12	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 13 FL-13	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 14 FL-14	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 15 FL-15	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 16 FL-16	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 17 FL-17	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 18 FL-18	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 19 FL-19	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 20 FL-20	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 21 FL-21	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 22 FL-22	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 23 FL-23	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 24 FL-24	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 25 FL-25	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 26 FL-26	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 27 FL-27	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Florida District 28 FL-28	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Georgia District 1 GA-01	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +14.2	Safe R	Census district lines
Georgia District 2 GA-02	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +9.3	Safe D	Census district lines
Georgia District 3 GA-03	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +28.1	Safe R	Census district lines
Georgia District 4 GA-04	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +54.1	Safe D	Census district lines
Georgia District 5 GA-05	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +73.2	Safe D	Census district lines
Georgia District 6 GA-06	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +51.6	Safe D	Census district lines
Georgia District 7 GA-07	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Not rated	Agree: Solid R (3 raters)	No poll on file	R +20.4	Safe R	Census district lines
Georgia District 8 GA-08	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +28.9	Safe R	Census district lines
Georgia District 9 GA-09	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +32.4	Safe R	Census district lines
Georgia District 10 GA-10	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Not rated	Agree: Solid R (3 raters)	No poll on file	R +19.1	Safe R	Census district lines
Georgia District 11 GA-11	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Not rated	Agree: Solid R (3 raters)	No poll on file	R +21.7	Safe R	Census district lines
Georgia District 12 GA-12	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +12.5	Safe R	Census district lines
Georgia District 13 GA-13	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +44.0	Safe D	Census district lines
Georgia District 14 GA-14	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +35.1	Safe R	Census district lines
Hawaii District 1 HI-01	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +26.4	Safe D	Census district lines
Hawaii District 2 HI-02	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +23.2	Safe D	Census district lines
Iowa District 1 IA-01	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	1 step apart: Likely D to Lean D (4 raters)	Not a pollster release	R +6.8	Lean D	Census district lines
Iowa District 2 IA-02	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Lean D	Lean D	1 step apart: Lean D to Toss-Up (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +8.3	Toss-up	Census district lines
Iowa District 3 IA-03	Lean D	Toss-Up	Likely D	Likely D	2 steps apart: Likely D to Toss-Up (4 raters)	Not a pollster release	R +2.8	Lean D	Census district lines
Iowa District 4 IA-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +29.8	Safe R	Census district lines
Idaho District 1 ID-01	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +43.4	Safe R	Census district lines
Idaho District 2 ID-02	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +25.1	Safe R	Census district lines
Illinois District 1 IL-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 2 IL-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 3 IL-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 4 IL-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 5 IL-05	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 6 IL-06	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 7 IL-07	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 8 IL-08	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 9 IL-09	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 10 IL-10	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 11 IL-11	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 12 IL-12	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 13 IL-13	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 14 IL-14	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 15 IL-15	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 16 IL-16	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Illinois District 17 IL-17	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Indiana District 1 IN-01	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	1 step apart: Solid D to Likely D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +2.0	Safe D	Census district lines
Indiana District 2 IN-02	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +24.9	Safe R	Census district lines
Indiana District 3 IN-03	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +29.5	Safe R	Census district lines
Indiana District 4 IN-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +27.7	Safe R	Census district lines
Indiana District 5 IN-05	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	Not a pollster release	R +15.2	Safe R	Census district lines
Indiana District 6 IN-06	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +30.9	Safe R	Census district lines
Indiana District 7 IN-07	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +43.1	Safe D	Census district lines
Indiana District 8 IN-08	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +34.2	Safe R	Census district lines
Indiana District 9 IN-09	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +28.2	Safe R	Census district lines
Kansas District 1 KS-01	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +29.6	Safe R	Census district lines
Kansas District 2 KS-02	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +18.0	Safe R	Census district lines
Kansas District 3 KS-03	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Agree: Solid D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +5.8	Safe D	Census district lines
Kansas District 4 KS-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +21.6	Safe R	Census district lines
Kentucky District 1 KY-01	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +45.6	Safe R	Census district lines
Kentucky District 2 KY-02	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +39.7	Safe R	Census district lines
Kentucky District 3 KY-03	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +20.6	Safe D	Census district lines
Kentucky District 4 KY-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +33.9	Safe R	Census district lines
Kentucky District 5 KY-05	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +62.2	Safe R	Census district lines
Kentucky District 6 KY-06	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Agree: Lean R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +13.4	Likely R	Census district lines
Louisiana District 1 LA-01	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +36.6	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Louisiana District 2 LA-02	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +49.0	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Louisiana District 3 LA-03	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +34.4	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Louisiana District 4 LA-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +32.6	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Louisiana District 5 LA-05	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +32.4	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Louisiana District 6 LA-06	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +28.4	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Massachusetts District 1 MA-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Massachusetts District 2 MA-02	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +25.3	Safe D	Census district lines
Massachusetts District 3 MA-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Massachusetts District 4 MA-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Massachusetts District 5 MA-05	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +46.8	Safe D	Census district lines
Massachusetts District 6 MA-06	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Massachusetts District 7 MA-07	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +64.8	Safe D	Census district lines
Massachusetts District 8 MA-08	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Massachusetts District 9 MA-09	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Maryland District 1 MD-01	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +15.3	Safe R	Census district lines
Maryland District 2 MD-02	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +20.1	Safe D	Census district lines
Maryland District 3 MD-03	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +25.4	Safe D	Census district lines
Maryland District 4 MD-04	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +75.3	Safe D	Census district lines
Maryland District 5 MD-05	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +34.9	Safe D	Census district lines
Maryland District 6 MD-06	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Agree: Solid D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +7.4	Safe D	Census district lines
Maryland District 7 MD-07	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +60.6	Safe D	Census district lines
Maryland District 8 MD-08	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +58.1	Safe D	Census district lines
Maine District 1 ME-01	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Agree: Solid D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +23.3	Safe D	Census district lines
Maine District 2 ME-02	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Toss-Up	1 step apart: Toss-Up to Lean R (4 raters)	Not a pollster release	R +7.4	Lean R	Census district lines
Michigan District 1 MI-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Michigan District 2 MI-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Michigan District 3 MI-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Michigan District 4 MI-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Michigan District 5 MI-05	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Michigan District 6 MI-06	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Michigan District 7 MI-07	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Michigan District 8 MI-08	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Michigan District 9 MI-09	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Michigan District 10 MI-10	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Michigan District 11 MI-11	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Michigan District 12 MI-12	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Michigan District 13 MI-13	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Minnesota District 1 MN-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Minnesota District 2 MN-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Minnesota District 3 MN-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Minnesota District 4 MN-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Minnesota District 5 MN-05	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Minnesota District 6 MN-06	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Minnesota District 7 MN-07	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Minnesota District 8 MN-08	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Missouri District 1 MO-01	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +58.8	Safe D	Census district lines
Missouri District 2 MO-02	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Toss-Up	2 steps apart: Toss-Up to Likely R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +6.3	Lean R	Census district lines
Missouri District 3 MO-03	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +25.1	Safe R	Census district lines
Missouri District 4 MO-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +40.6	Safe R	Census district lines
Missouri District 5 MO-05	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Agree: Solid D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +24.8	Safe D	Census district lines
Missouri District 6 MO-06	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +37.2	Safe R	Census district lines
Missouri District 7 MO-07	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +41.0	Safe R	Census district lines
Missouri District 8 MO-08	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +52.4	Safe R	Census district lines
Mississippi District 1 MS-01	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +35.4	Safe R	Census district lines
Mississippi District 2 MS-02	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +22.0	Safe D	Census district lines
Mississippi District 3 MS-03	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +27.5	Safe R	Census district lines
Mississippi District 4 MS-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +40.9	Safe R	Census district lines
Montana District 1 MT-01	Toss-Up	Lean R	Lean R	Toss-Up	1 step apart: Toss-Up to Lean R (4 raters)	Not a pollster release	R +9.9	Lean R	Census district lines
Montana District 2 MT-02	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +27.9	Safe R	Census district lines
North Carolina District 1 NC-01	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Lean D	Lean D	1 step apart: Lean D to Toss-Up (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +9.9	Toss-up	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 2 NC-02	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +35.5	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 3 NC-03	Solid R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +12.0	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 4 NC-04	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +47.0	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 5 NC-05	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +16.1	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 6 NC-06	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +15.5	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 7 NC-07	Solid R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +12.2	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 8 NC-08	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +17.7	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 9 NC-09	Solid R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +14.2	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 10 NC-10	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +16.1	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 11 NC-11	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Lean D	Toss-Up	1 step apart: Lean D to Toss-Up (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +7.8	Toss-up	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 12 NC-12	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +47.9	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 13 NC-13	Solid R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +14.8	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 14 NC-14	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +13.4	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
North Dakota at-large ND-AL	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +35.1	Safe R	State outline (at-large)
Nebraska District 1 NE-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Nebraska District 2 NE-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Nebraska District 3 NE-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Hampshire District 1 NH-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Hampshire District 2 NH-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Jersey District 1 NJ-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Jersey District 2 NJ-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Jersey District 3 NJ-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Jersey District 4 NJ-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Jersey District 5 NJ-05	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Jersey District 6 NJ-06	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Jersey District 7 NJ-07	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Jersey District 8 NJ-08	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Jersey District 9 NJ-09	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Jersey District 10 NJ-10	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Jersey District 11 NJ-11	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Jersey District 12 NJ-12	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New Mexico District 1 NM-01	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +14.3	Safe D	Census district lines
New Mexico District 2 NM-02	Lean D	Lean D	Safe D	Likely D	2 steps apart: Solid D to Lean D (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +0.2	Likely D	Census district lines
New Mexico District 3 NM-03	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Agree: Solid D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +6.8	Safe D	Census district lines
Nevada District 1 NV-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Nevada District 2 NV-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Nevada District 3 NV-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Nevada District 4 NV-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 1 NY-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 2 NY-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 3 NY-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 4 NY-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 5 NY-05	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 6 NY-06	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 7 NY-07	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 8 NY-08	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 9 NY-09	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 10 NY-10	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 11 NY-11	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 12 NY-12	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 13 NY-13	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 14 NY-14	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 15 NY-15	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 16 NY-16	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 17 NY-17	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 18 NY-18	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 19 NY-19	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 20 NY-20	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 21 NY-21	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 22 NY-22	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 23 NY-23	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 24 NY-24	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 25 NY-25	Being re-verified								Census district lines
New York District 26 NY-26	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Ohio District 1 OH-01	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	1 step apart: Likely D to Lean D (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +0.9	Likely D	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 2 OH-02	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +40.5	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 3 OH-03	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +41.9	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 4 OH-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +41.0	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 5 OH-05	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +22.1	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 6 OH-06	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +33.0	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 7 OH-07	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Lean D	1 step apart: Lean D to Toss-Up (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +9.4	Toss-up	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 8 OH-08	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +14.0	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 9 OH-09	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Likely D	Lean D	2 steps apart: Likely D to Toss-Up (4 raters)	Not a pollster release	R +8.9	Toss-up	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 10 OH-10	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	1 step apart: Lean R to Likely R (4 raters)	Not a pollster release	R +6.1	Likely R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 11 OH-11	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +56.7	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 12 OH-12	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +28.4	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 13 OH-13	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	1 step apart: Solid D to Likely D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +4.9	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 14 OH-14	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +18.7	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 15 OH-15	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	1 step apart: Lean R to Likely R (4 raters)	Not a pollster release	R +8.4	Likely R	Enacted 2026 map
Oklahoma District 1 OK-01	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +19.9	Safe R	Census district lines
Oklahoma District 2 OK-02	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +54.0	Safe R	Census district lines
Oklahoma District 3 OK-03	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +43.9	Safe R	Census district lines
Oklahoma District 4 OK-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +31.6	Safe R	Census district lines
Oklahoma District 5 OK-05	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +16.1	Safe R	Census district lines
Oregon District 1 OR-01	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +39.4	Safe D	Census district lines
Oregon District 2 OR-02	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +25.5	Safe R	Census district lines
Oregon District 3 OR-03	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +47.6	Safe D	Census district lines
Oregon District 4 OR-04	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +13.7	Safe D	Census district lines
Oregon District 5 OR-05	Solid D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	1 step apart: Solid D to Likely D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +10.2	Safe D	Census district lines
Oregon District 6 OR-06	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +13.0	Safe D	Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 1 PA-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 2 PA-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 3 PA-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 4 PA-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 5 PA-05	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 6 PA-06	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 7 PA-07	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 8 PA-08	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 9 PA-09	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 10 PA-10	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 11 PA-11	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 12 PA-12	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 13 PA-13	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 14 PA-14	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 15 PA-15	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 16 PA-16	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Pennsylvania District 17 PA-17	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Rhode Island District 1 RI-01	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +23.8	Safe D	Census district lines
Rhode Island District 2 RI-02	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Agree: Solid D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +8.4	Safe D	Census district lines
South Carolina District 1 SC-01	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	1 step apart: Lean R to Likely R (4 raters)	Not a pollster release	R +11.4	Likely R	Census district lines
South Carolina District 2 SC-02	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +12.3	Safe R	Census district lines
South Carolina District 3 SC-03	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +41.4	Safe R	Census district lines
South Carolina District 4 SC-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +21.9	Safe R	Census district lines
South Carolina District 5 SC-05	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +21.1	Safe R	Census district lines
South Carolina District 6 SC-06	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +24.3	Safe D	Census district lines
South Carolina District 7 SC-07	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +24.7	Safe R	Census district lines
South Dakota at-large SD-AL	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +27.5	Safe R	State outline (at-large)
Tennessee District 1 TN-01	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Tennessee District 2 TN-02	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Tennessee District 3 TN-03	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Tennessee District 4 TN-04	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Tennessee District 5 TN-05	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Tennessee District 6 TN-06	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Tennessee District 7 TN-07	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Tennessee District 8 TN-08	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Tennessee District 9 TN-09	Being re-verified								Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 1 TX-01	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +47.9	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 2 TX-02	Solid R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +21.2	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 3 TX-03	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +21.8	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 4 TX-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +23.1	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 5 TX-05	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +20.0	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 6 TX-06	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +21.3	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 7 TX-07	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +25.1	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 8 TX-08	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +26.0	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 9 TX-09	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +18.1	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 10 TX-10	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +21.0	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 11 TX-11	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +32.7	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 12 TX-12	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +22.2	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 13 TX-13	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +44.5	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 14 TX-14	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +22.6	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 15 TX-15	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Lean R	1 step apart: Toss-Up to Lean R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +16.2	Toss-up	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 16 TX-16	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +18.1	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 17 TX-17	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Not rated	Agree: Solid R (3 raters)	No poll on file	R +20.0	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 18 TX-18	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +56.6	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 19 TX-19	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +50.0	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 20 TX-20	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +30.2	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 21 TX-21	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +20.2	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 22 TX-22	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +20.6	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 23 TX-23	Likely R	Likely R	Toss-Up	Likely R	2 steps apart: Toss-Up to Likely R (4 raters)	Not a pollster release	R +13.2	Likely R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 24 TX-24	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +14.5	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 25 TX-25	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +22.4	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 26 TX-26	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +22.2	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 27 TX-27	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +19.6	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 28 TX-28	Lean D	Lean D	Safe D	Likely D	2 steps apart: Solid D to Lean D (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +8.7	Lean D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 29 TX-29	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +32.1	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 30 TX-30	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +48.8	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 31 TX-31	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Not rated	Agree: Solid R (3 raters)	No poll on file	R +20.2	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 32 TX-32	Solid R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +16.1	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 33 TX-33	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +34.4	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 34 TX-34	Toss-Up	Lean D	Likely D	Lean D	2 steps apart: Likely D to Toss-Up (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +8.5	Lean D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 35 TX-35	Lean R	Lean R	Lean D	Toss-Up	2 steps apart: Lean D to Lean R, across parties (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +8.8	Lean R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 36 TX-36	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +23.3	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 37 TX-37	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +58.3	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 38 TX-38	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +19.3	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Utah District 1 UT-01	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +25.3	Safe D	Enacted 2026 map
Utah District 2 UT-02	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +27.4	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Utah District 3 UT-03	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +39.7	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Utah District 4 UT-04	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +30.9	Safe R	Enacted 2026 map
Virginia District 1 VA-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Virginia District 2 VA-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Virginia District 3 VA-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Virginia District 4 VA-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Virginia District 5 VA-05	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Virginia District 6 VA-06	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Virginia District 7 VA-07	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Virginia District 8 VA-08	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Virginia District 9 VA-09	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Virginia District 10 VA-10	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Virginia District 11 VA-11	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Vermont at-large VT-AL	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +33.4	Safe D	State outline (at-large)
Washington District 1 WA-01	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +30.3	Safe D	Census district lines
Washington District 2 WA-02	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +25.3	Safe D	Census district lines
Washington District 3 WA-03	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	1 step apart: Likely D to Lean D (4 raters)	Not a pollster release	R +1.6	Likely D	Census district lines
Washington District 4 WA-04	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Agree: Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +19.0	Safe R	Census district lines
Washington District 5 WA-05	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R	Lean R	2 steps apart: Lean R to Solid R (4 raters)	No poll on file	R +9.1	Safe R	Census district lines
Washington District 6 WA-06	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +20.9	Safe D	Census district lines
Washington District 7 WA-07	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +76.6	Safe D	Census district lines
Washington District 8 WA-08	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Agree: Solid D (4 raters)	No poll on file	D +7.4	Safe D	Census district lines
Washington District 9 WA-09	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +42.9	Safe D	Census district lines
Washington District 10 WA-10	Solid D	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	D +19.6	Safe D	Census district lines
Wisconsin District 1 WI-01	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Wisconsin District 2 WI-02	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Wisconsin District 3 WI-03	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Wisconsin District 4 WI-04	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Wisconsin District 5 WI-05	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Wisconsin District 6 WI-06	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Wisconsin District 7 WI-07	Being re-verified								Census district lines
Wisconsin District 8 WI-08	Being re-verified								Census district lines
West Virginia District 1 WV-01	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +42.7	Safe R	Census district lines
West Virginia District 2 WV-02	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +38.0	Safe R	Census district lines
Wyoming at-large WY-AL	Solid R	Not rated	Not rated	Not rated	Fewer than two raters	No poll on file	R +44.6	Safe R	State outline (at-large)

2026 forecast

Control of the Senate is a coin flip. Democrats are slightly favored to take the House.

Senate 51 D · 49 R

about a 2 in 5 chance of an R majority

House about a 1 in 5 chance of an R majority

Seat range under calibration review.

As of Oct 18, 2026, 9:34 AM EDT

Probabilities, not predictions. The margin of error is wide this far out. See the full forecast →

Senate

Alaska

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

Alabama

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Arkansas

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Colorado

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Delaware

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Florida (Special)

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Likely D

Georgia

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Toss-Up

Iowa

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

Idaho

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Illinois

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Toss-Up

Kansas

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Kentucky

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Louisiana

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Massachusetts

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Toss-Up

Maine

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Michigan

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Minnesota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

Mississippi

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

Montana

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Likely D

North Carolina

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Likely R

Nebraska

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

New Hampshire

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

New Jersey

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid D

New Mexico

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Ohio

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

Oklahoma

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid D

Oregon

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid D

Rhode Island

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Likely R

South Carolina

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

South Dakota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Tennessee

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Toss-Up

Texas

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Virginia

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

West Virginia

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

Wyoming

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

2026 House Races

House Race Tracker

Showing 30 competitive of 31 races

Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Split Ticket and FiftyPlusOne. Each rating is printed in that rater’s own words. Added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

.house-tracker-table tbody tr.is-collapsed { display: table-row !important; } @media (max-width: 600px) { .house-tracker-table tbody tr.is-collapsed { display: block !important; } }

Scroll to see all columns →


CA-13	Lean D	Toss-Up	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Suburban Swing
CA-22	Toss-Up	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Suburban Swing
CA-27	Toss-Up	Lean D	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Suburban Swing
CA-45	Lean D	Lean D	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Suburban Swing
CA-48	Lean D	Lean D	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Suburban Swing
NY-04					Suburban Swing
NY-17					Suburban Swing
NY-19					Suburban Swing
NY-22					Suburban Swing
NJ-07					Suburban Swing
PA-01					Suburban Swing
PA-07					Suburban Swing
PA-08					Suburban Swing
PA-10					Suburban Swing
VA-02					Suburban Swing
ME-02	Lean R	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Working-Class
IA-01	Toss-Up	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Working-Class
IA-03	Toss-Up	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Working-Class
OH-09	Lean R	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Working-Class
OH-13	Lean R	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Working-Class
MI-07					Working-Class
MI-08					Working-Class
WI-01					Working-Class
WI-03					Working-Class
MN-01					Working-Class
PA-17					Working-Class
TX-15	Toss-Up	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Sun Belt
TX-23	Likely R	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Sun Belt
TX-34	Toss-Up	Lean D	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Sun Belt
AZ-01					Sun Belt
AZ-06					Sun Belt

Governors

36 governorships are on the November 2026 ballot. Ratings are shown only where a rater has published one; an unrated race carries no party colour.

We show no win probability for governor races. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections, so these pages carry ratings, polls and fundraising instead.

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

Alabama Governor

Incumbent: Kay Ivey (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Tossup

Alaska Governor

Incumbent: Mike Dunleavy (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Arizona Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Arkansas Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

California Governor

Incumbent: Gavin Newsom (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Colorado Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Connecticut Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Florida Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Tossup

Georgia Governor

Incumbent: Brian Kemp (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

Hawaii Governor

Incumbent: Josh Green Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Idaho Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Illinois Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Iowa Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Lean R

Kansas Governor

Incumbent: Laura Kelly (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

Maine Governor

Incumbent: Janet Mills (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

Maryland Governor

Incumbent: Wes Moore Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Massachusetts Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Lean D

Michigan Governor

Incumbent: Gretchen Whitmer (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Minnesota Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

Nebraska Governor

Incumbent: Jim Pillen Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Tossup

Nevada Governor

Incumbent: Joe Lombardo Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Likely R

New Hampshire Governor

Incumbent: Kelly Ayotte Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

New Mexico Governor

Incumbent: Michelle Lujan Grisham (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

New York Governor

Incumbent: Kathy Hochul Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Tossup

Ohio Governor

Incumbent: Mike DeWine (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

Oklahoma Governor

Incumbent: Kevin Stitt (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Lean D

Oregon Governor

Incumbent: Tina Kotek Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

Pennsylvania Governor

Incumbent: Josh Shapiro Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Rhode Island Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

South Carolina Governor

Incumbent: Henry McMaster (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

South Dakota Governor

Incumbent: Larry Rhoden Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

Tennessee Governor

Incumbent: Bill Lee (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Lean R

Texas Governor

Incumbent: Greg Abbott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

Vermont Governor

Incumbent: Phil Scott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Wisconsin Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

Wyoming Governor

Incumbent: Mark Gordon (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Full 470-race forecast table

The model’s full race-by-race table, with win odds for every modeled seat, lives on the forecast page. See the full table on the forecast page.